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Utility functions
are different for different persons
and organizations. An individual utility function is defined by
a lottery
. Here
is the
probability to win the best event
.
is the
probability to get the worst one
. Denote by
the "ticket
price" of this lottery. There are two possible decisions:
- keep the ticket money
,
- bay a ticket and risk losing
this money while hoping to win a greater wealth
with
probability
.
Denote by
a "hesitation" probability, when one cannot
decide which decision to prefer. One defines the "hesitation"
probability
by this condition
![$\displaystyle L(A,B,C,p(C))=[C \approx \{p(C) A + (1-p(C)) B\}].$](img212.png) |
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(42) |
Here the symbol
denotes the "hesitation." If utilities
and
, the utility of the "ticket"
is equal to the hesitation
probability
[1].
Suppose, for example, that event
is to keep all the investment capital,
, in a safe; no risk, no
profit. Assume that the event
means doubling the
capital,
. The event
means losing all the
capital,
.
Denote by
the hesitation probability. Then
. If
and
then the
utility of the capital
. Here one obtained
capital utilities at three points:
, and
.
To define a
reasonable approximation of the utility function
, we
need at least two additional points. For example, points
and
. One defines the corresponding utilities by the
hesitation probabilities
and
. These are
obtained by two hesitation lotteries
 |
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(43) |
![$\displaystyle [(y=0.5) \approx \{p(0.5)(y=1) +(1-p(0.5))(y= 0) \}] \nonumber$](img231.png) |
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and
 |
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(44) |
![$\displaystyle [(y=1.0) \approx \{p(1.5)(y=2.0) +(1-p(1.5))(y=1) \}]. \nonumber$](img233.png) |
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Here one obtains utility values
.
The remaining capital utility values are defined by the linear interpolation
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(45) |
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In consulting offices, the "psychological tests" defining capital utilities are not always convenient. Then one of the four "typical"
utility functions can be selected. The typical utility functions
represent the risky, the average, the rich and the prudent
persons. The selection depends on observable personal traits.
The same capital utility function (14) could be
used for all customers. Then one defines customer differences by different
border points, namely:
(see Figure
).
Next: Software Example
Up: sharesl
Previous: Search for Equilibrium
2002-11-04