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Estimating Call Rates

The statistical model can be used estimating the call rates $\lambda$ in the same way as the analytical one. We estimate $\lambda=(\lambda_1,...,\lambda_l)$ by minimizing the square deviations $\Delta (\mu,\lambda, r)$ between the probabilities[*]that there are $k_s$ calls in the $s$-th server[*]and their estimates $ P_{k_s}^0$ by the actual observations

$\displaystyle \Delta (\mu,\lambda,r)=\sum_s \sum_{k_s=0}^{m_s+r} (P_{k_s}(\mu,\lambda, r)-P_{k_s}^0)^2 .$     (98)

The estimates $ P_{k_s}^0$ are obtained by counting the numbers of waiting $s$-calls at different time moments. The least square estimation of the call-vector $\lambda$ is as follows
$\displaystyle \lambda^o= \arg \min_{\lambda} \Delta (\mu,\lambda, r)).$     (99)

However, using the statistical model this way one needs considerable computing power.



mockus 2008-06-21