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Introduction
The previous examples illustrated competition and inspection
processes in economical, social and ecological
problems. Here the optimal investment of available resources is considered. Investment problems depend on the nature of
resources to be invested. An important part of any investment
problem is a proper definition of utility functions that
determine the profit-to-risk relation.
Here we consider an illustrative example
how to invest some fixed capital in
Certificates of Deposit (CD) and Stocks.
The portfolio problem is to maximize the average
utility of a wealth. That is obtained by optimal distribution of
available capital between different objects with uncertain
parameters [3]. Denote by
the part of the capital
invested into an object
. The returned wealth
is
. Here
and
is an interest rate. Denote by
the
reliability of investment. Here
is the insolvency probability.
is the utility the wealth
. Denote by
the expected
utility function.
depends on the capital distribution
. If
is continuous,
the expected utility function
 |
|
|
(1) |
Here
is probability density of wealth
. If the wealth is discrete
, the expected utility function
 |
|
|
(2) |
Here
is the number of discrete values of wealth
.
is the probability that the wealth
will be returned, if the capital
distribution is
. We search for such capital distribution
which provides the greatest expected utility of the returned
wealth:
Next: Expected Utility
Up: sharesl
Previous: sharesl
2002-11-04