Number of Factors M 10 Number of of columns of matrix c R 0 Multi-step prognose indicator V 1 Multi-step optimization indicator W 0 Number of prognose repetitions K 1 indicator of simulated annealing SA 0 temperature of simulated annealing ST 1.000000e+04 number of simulated annealing iterations SI 100 indicator of residual printing EPS 0 indicator of input control INP 0 the first line in datafile for regression, TR -10 the last line in datafile for regression, TE 250 starting number of AR parameters Ps 10 minimal number of AR parameters Pmin 10 minimal number of MA parameters Qmin 0 maximal number of AR parameters Pmax 100 maximal number of MA parameters Qmax 2 number of data entries T 3600 number of entries for a and b optimization T0 1200 number of entries for P and Q optimization T1 2400 indicator of variance F 0 Global Max Iterat 50 Local Max Iterat 60 b-Bounds 1.000000e+00 Diskret Params Init (Ps-AR params, Qs-MA params,ts-starting time) : Ps Qs ts = 10 0 0 Diskret Params Step : dP dQ dt = 10 1 1 Diskret Params Max : Pmax Qmax tmax = 100 2 0 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = -9.836616e+02 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = 8.682834e+02 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = 5.174412e+02 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = -1.464722e+02 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = -2.322585e+02 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = -1.388697e+02 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = 3.190708e+01 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = 1.236619e+03 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = 1.436575e+02 Start AR: l=0_Ps a[l] = 2.968939e-01 Start Results: opt delta_perc delta_mean= 1.046629e+03 -1.948252e+01 8.710343e+02 Start Discret: Po Qo to opt delta_perc delta_mean = 10 0 0 1.046629e+03 -1.948252e+01 8.710343e+02 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = -9.836616e+02 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = 8.682834e+02 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = 5.174412e+02 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = -1.464722e+02 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = -2.322585e+02 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = -1.388697e+02 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = 3.190708e+01 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = 1.236619e+03 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = 1.436575e+02 Start AR: l=0_Po a[l] = 2.968939e-01 BAYES, EXKOR, Finish Discret: Po Qo toP Q t0 opt delta_perc delta_mean= 10 0 0 10 0 0 1.046629e+03 -1.948252e+01 8.710343e+02 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = -9.836616e+02 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = 8.682834e+02 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = 5.174412e+02 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = -1.464722e+02 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = -2.322585e+02 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = -1.388697e+02 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = 3.190708e+01 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = 1.236619e+03 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = 1.436575e+02 Finish ARo: l=0_P a[l] = 2.968939e-01 Finish: sigma 0.000000e+00 Finish progn_err 1.124267e+03